“Production Surplus or Deficit” is calculated vis-à-vis your production, i.e. what you need.
More precisely, “Production Surplus” means that you need a “surplus” of production, i.e. that you must increase actual production compared to your production plan.
On the opposite, “Production Deficit” means that you need a “deficit” of production, i.e. that you must reduce actual production compared to your production plan.
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